Vail Resorts Stock Forecast - Semi Variance
| MTN Stock | USD 179.24 3.02 1.66% |
Vail Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Vail Resorts' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Vail Resorts' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Vail Resorts fundamentals over time.
Vail |
| Check Vail Resorts Volatility | Backtest Vail Resorts | Information Ratio |
Vail Resorts Trading Date Momentum
| On December 01 2024 Vail Resorts was traded for 179.24 at the closing time. Highest Vail Resorts's price during the trading hours was 182.50 and the lowest price during the day was 178.69 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 1st of December did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.54% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Vail Resorts
For every potential investor in Vail, whether a beginner or expert, Vail Resorts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vail Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vail. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vail Resorts' price trends.Vail Resorts Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vail Resorts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vail Resorts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vail Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vail Resorts Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vail Resorts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vail Resorts' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Vail Resorts Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vail Resorts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vail Resorts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vail Resorts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vail Resorts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vail Resorts Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vail Resorts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vail Resorts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vail stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Vail Resorts
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vail Resorts position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vail Resorts will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Vail Stock
| 0.5 | WEN | The Wendys | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | QSR | Restaurant Brands | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | AGS | PlayAGS | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | MCD | McDonalds Fiscal Year End 3rd of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | YUMC | Yum China Holdings | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vail Resorts could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vail Resorts when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vail Resorts - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vail Resorts to buy it.
The correlation of Vail Resorts is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vail Resorts moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vail Resorts moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vail Resorts can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vail Resorts to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.166 | Dividend Share 8.56 | Earnings Share 6.08 | Revenue Per Share 76.191 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.