MOTOROLA SOLTN Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| MTLA Stock | EUR 453.20 0.80 0.18% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MOTOROLA SOLTN on the next trading day is expected to be 467.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 756.13. MOTOROLA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
MOTOROLA |
MOTOROLA SOLTN 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MOTOROLA SOLTN on the next trading day is expected to be 467.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.00, mean absolute percentage error of 439.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 756.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MOTOROLA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MOTOROLA SOLTN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MOTOROLA SOLTN Stock Forecast Pattern
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MOTOROLA SOLTN Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MOTOROLA SOLTN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MOTOROLA SOLTN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 465.57 and 468.52, respectively. We have considered MOTOROLA SOLTN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MOTOROLA SOLTN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MOTOROLA SOLTN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 89.2761 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -13.3617 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 18.0031 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0395 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 756.13 |
Predictive Modules for MOTOROLA SOLTN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOTOROLA SOLTN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for MOTOROLA SOLTN
For every potential investor in MOTOROLA, whether a beginner or expert, MOTOROLA SOLTN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MOTOROLA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MOTOROLA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MOTOROLA SOLTN's price trends.MOTOROLA SOLTN Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MOTOROLA SOLTN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MOTOROLA SOLTN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MOTOROLA SOLTN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MOTOROLA SOLTN Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MOTOROLA SOLTN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MOTOROLA SOLTN's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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MOTOROLA SOLTN Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MOTOROLA SOLTN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MOTOROLA SOLTN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MOTOROLA SOLTN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MOTOROLA SOLTN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MOTOROLA SOLTN Risk Indicators
The analysis of MOTOROLA SOLTN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MOTOROLA SOLTN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting motorola stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9429 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8251 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6808 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for MOTOROLA Stock Analysis
When running MOTOROLA SOLTN's price analysis, check to measure MOTOROLA SOLTN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOTOROLA SOLTN is operating at the current time. Most of MOTOROLA SOLTN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOTOROLA SOLTN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOTOROLA SOLTN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOTOROLA SOLTN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.