Minto Apartment Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MI-UN Stock  CAD 14.70  0.07  0.48%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Minto Apartment Real on the next trading day is expected to be 15.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.67. Minto Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Minto Apartment's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.01 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.10 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 272.2 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 51.6 M in 2024.
Minto Apartment polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Minto Apartment Real as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Minto Apartment Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Minto Apartment Real on the next trading day is expected to be 15.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Minto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Minto Apartment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Minto Apartment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Minto ApartmentMinto Apartment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Minto Apartment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Minto Apartment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Minto Apartment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.90 and 16.19, respectively. We have considered Minto Apartment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.70
15.04
Expected Value
16.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Minto Apartment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Minto Apartment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9642
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1721
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0111
SAESum of the absolute errors10.6733
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Minto Apartment historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Minto Apartment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minto Apartment Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5814.7215.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0015.1416.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.7914.3014.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.041.041.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Minto Apartment

For every potential investor in Minto, whether a beginner or expert, Minto Apartment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Minto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Minto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Minto Apartment's price trends.

Minto Apartment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Minto Apartment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Minto Apartment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Minto Apartment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Minto Apartment Real Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Minto Apartment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Minto Apartment's current price.

Minto Apartment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Minto Apartment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Minto Apartment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Minto Apartment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Minto Apartment Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Minto Apartment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Minto Apartment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Minto Apartment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting minto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Minto Apartment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Minto Apartment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Minto Apartment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Minto Stock

  0.77AEMC Alaska Energy MetalsPairCorr
  0.68CMC Cielo Waste SolutionsPairCorr

Moving against Minto Stock

  0.94LQWD LQwD FinTech CorpPairCorr
  0.72ERC Eros Resources CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Minto Apartment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Minto Apartment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Minto Apartment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Minto Apartment Real to buy it.
The correlation of Minto Apartment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Minto Apartment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Minto Apartment Real moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Minto Apartment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Minto Stock Analysis

When running Minto Apartment's price analysis, check to measure Minto Apartment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Minto Apartment is operating at the current time. Most of Minto Apartment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Minto Apartment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Minto Apartment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Minto Apartment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.