Magna International Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| MGA Stock | EUR 41.90 1.77 4.05% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Magna International on the next trading day is expected to be 43.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.42. Magna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Magna International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Magna |
Magna International Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Magna International on the next trading day is expected to be 43.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Magna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Magna International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Magna International Stock Forecast Pattern
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Magna International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Magna International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Magna International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.26 and 46.13, respectively. We have considered Magna International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Magna International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Magna International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8606 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7118 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.4173 |
Predictive Modules for Magna International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magna International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Magna International
For every potential investor in Magna, whether a beginner or expert, Magna International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Magna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Magna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Magna International's price trends.Magna International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Magna International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Magna International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Magna International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Magna International Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Magna International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Magna International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Magna International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Magna International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Magna International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Magna International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Magna International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 41.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 41.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.89) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.77) |
Magna International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Magna International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Magna International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting magna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Magna Stock
When determining whether Magna International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Magna International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Magna International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Magna International Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Magna International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Magna Stock please use our How to Invest in Magna International guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.