Loews Corp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LTR Stock  EUR 83.00  2.50  3.11%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 83.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.36. Loews Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Loews Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Loews Corp works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Loews Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loews Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 83.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loews Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loews Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Loews Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loews Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loews Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1298
MADMean absolute deviation0.8393
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors50.355
When Loews Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Loews Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Loews Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Loews Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loews Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.4583.0084.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.0679.6191.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
77.8380.1482.46
Details

Loews Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loews Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loews Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loews Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Loews Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loews Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loews Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loews Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Loews Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Loews Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Loews Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loews Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loews stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Loews Stock

When determining whether Loews Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Loews Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Loews Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Loews Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loews Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loews Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loews Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.