LifeMD Preferred Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LFMDP Preferred Stock  USD 22.90  0.14  0.62%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LifeMD Preferred Series on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.45. LifeMD Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for LifeMD Preferred is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LifeMD Preferred Series value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LifeMD Preferred Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LifeMD Preferred Series on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LifeMD Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LifeMD Preferred's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LifeMD Preferred Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LifeMD PreferredLifeMD Preferred Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LifeMD Preferred Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LifeMD Preferred's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LifeMD Preferred's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.50 and 24.21, respectively. We have considered LifeMD Preferred's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.90
22.86
Expected Value
24.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LifeMD Preferred preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LifeMD Preferred preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5047
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2041
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4492
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LifeMD Preferred Series. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LifeMD Preferred. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LifeMD Preferred

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LifeMD Preferred Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LifeMD Preferred's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5522.9024.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6018.9525.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.9022.9022.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LifeMD Preferred

For every potential investor in LifeMD, whether a beginner or expert, LifeMD Preferred's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LifeMD Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LifeMD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LifeMD Preferred's price trends.

LifeMD Preferred Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LifeMD Preferred preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LifeMD Preferred could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LifeMD Preferred by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LifeMD Preferred Series Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LifeMD Preferred's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LifeMD Preferred's current price.

LifeMD Preferred Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LifeMD Preferred preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LifeMD Preferred shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LifeMD Preferred preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LifeMD Preferred Series entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LifeMD Preferred Risk Indicators

The analysis of LifeMD Preferred's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LifeMD Preferred's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lifemd preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LifeMD Preferred

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LifeMD Preferred position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LifeMD Preferred will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with LifeMD Preferred Stock

  0.65WEAV Weave CommunicationsPairCorr

Moving against LifeMD Preferred Stock

  0.64GDRX Goodrx HoldingsPairCorr
  0.62TXG 10X GenomicsPairCorr
  0.57KDLYW Kindly MD, WarrantsPairCorr
  0.51GEHC GE HealthCare TechnoPairCorr
  0.5NRC National Research CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LifeMD Preferred could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LifeMD Preferred when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LifeMD Preferred - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LifeMD Preferred Series to buy it.
The correlation of LifeMD Preferred is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LifeMD Preferred moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LifeMD Preferred Series moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LifeMD Preferred can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for LifeMD Preferred Stock Analysis

When running LifeMD Preferred's price analysis, check to measure LifeMD Preferred's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LifeMD Preferred is operating at the current time. Most of LifeMD Preferred's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LifeMD Preferred's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LifeMD Preferred's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LifeMD Preferred to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.