Lifex Income Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| LFAUX Fund | 17.23 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lifex Income on the next trading day is expected to be 17.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.18. Lifex Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Lifex |
Lifex Income Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lifex Income on the next trading day is expected to be 17.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lifex Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lifex Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lifex Income Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lifex Income mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lifex Income mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1696 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0194 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.1828 |
Predictive Modules for Lifex Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifex Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifex Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifex Income Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lifex Income mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lifex Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifex Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lifex Income Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lifex Income mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lifex Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lifex Income mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lifex Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lifex Income Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lifex Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lifex Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lifex mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0936 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2056 | |||
| Variance | 0.0423 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0897 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Lifex Mutual Fund
Lifex Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lifex Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lifex with respect to the benefits of owning Lifex Income security.
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