Liberty Broadband Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LBRDA Stock  USD 81.70  0.94  1.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Broadband Srs on the next trading day is expected to be 88.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.95. Liberty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Liberty Broadband stock prices and determine the direction of Liberty Broadband Srs's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liberty Broadband's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to -0.09. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 2.71. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 155.4 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.5 B.

Liberty Broadband Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Liberty Broadband's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-03-31
Previous Quarter
78 M
Current Value
168 M
Quarterly Volatility
312.5 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Liberty Broadband is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Liberty Broadband Srs value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Liberty Broadband Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Broadband Srs on the next trading day is expected to be 88.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66, mean absolute percentage error of 11.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liberty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liberty Broadband's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liberty Broadband Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Liberty BroadbandLiberty Broadband Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Liberty Broadband Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liberty Broadband's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liberty Broadband's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.84 and 92.85, respectively. We have considered Liberty Broadband's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.70
88.35
Expected Value
92.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liberty Broadband stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liberty Broadband stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.4222
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6604
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0321
SAESum of the absolute errors164.9478
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Liberty Broadband Srs. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Liberty Broadband. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Liberty Broadband

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Broadband Srs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Broadband's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5182.0286.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.5397.04101.55
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
117.85129.50143.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.451.451.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Liberty Broadband

For every potential investor in Liberty, whether a beginner or expert, Liberty Broadband's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liberty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liberty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liberty Broadband's price trends.

Liberty Broadband Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liberty Broadband stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liberty Broadband could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Broadband by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liberty Broadband Srs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liberty Broadband's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liberty Broadband's current price.

Liberty Broadband Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liberty Broadband stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liberty Broadband shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liberty Broadband stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liberty Broadband Srs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liberty Broadband Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liberty Broadband's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liberty Broadband's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liberty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Liberty Broadband Srs is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Liberty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Liberty Broadband Srs Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Liberty Broadband Srs Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liberty Broadband to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Cable & Satellite space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Broadband. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Broadband listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Earnings Share
5.43
Revenue Per Share
6.977
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.092
Return On Assets
0.0036
The market value of Liberty Broadband Srs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Broadband's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Broadband's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Broadband's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Broadband's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Broadband's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Broadband is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Broadband's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.