Kinea Oportunidades Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

KORE11 Fund   73.89  0.58  0.78%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinea Oportunidades Real on the next trading day is expected to be 73.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.85. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Kinea Oportunidades' fund prices and determine the direction of Kinea Oportunidades Real's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kinea Oportunidades price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kinea Oportunidades Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinea Oportunidades Real on the next trading day is expected to be 73.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.03, mean absolute percentage error of 7.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 125.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kinea Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kinea Oportunidades' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kinea Oportunidades Fund Forecast Pattern

Kinea Oportunidades Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kinea Oportunidades' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kinea Oportunidades' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.97 and 75.49, respectively. We have considered Kinea Oportunidades' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.89
73.73
Expected Value
75.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kinea Oportunidades fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kinea Oportunidades fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9468
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0298
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0244
SAESum of the absolute errors125.8459
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kinea Oportunidades Real historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kinea Oportunidades

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea Oportunidades Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Kinea Oportunidades

For every potential investor in Kinea, whether a beginner or expert, Kinea Oportunidades' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kinea Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kinea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kinea Oportunidades' price trends.

Kinea Oportunidades Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kinea Oportunidades fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kinea Oportunidades could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kinea Oportunidades by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kinea Oportunidades Real Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kinea Oportunidades' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kinea Oportunidades' current price.

Kinea Oportunidades Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kinea Oportunidades fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kinea Oportunidades shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kinea Oportunidades fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Kinea Oportunidades Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kinea Oportunidades Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kinea Oportunidades' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kinea Oportunidades' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kinea fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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