Resource Alam Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
KKGI Stock | IDR 535.00 20.00 3.88% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Resource Alam Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 514.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,005. Resource Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Resource |
Resource Alam Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Resource Alam Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 514.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.22, mean absolute percentage error of 378.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,005.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Resource Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Resource Alam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Resource Alam Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest Resource Alam | Resource Alam Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Resource Alam Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Resource Alam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Resource Alam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 512.29 and 516.10, respectively. We have considered Resource Alam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Resource Alam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Resource Alam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.8841 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 16.216 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0282 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1005.3917 |
Predictive Modules for Resource Alam
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resource Alam Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Resource Alam
For every potential investor in Resource, whether a beginner or expert, Resource Alam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Resource Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Resource. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Resource Alam's price trends.Resource Alam Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Resource Alam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Resource Alam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Resource Alam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Resource Alam Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Resource Alam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Resource Alam's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Resource Alam Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Resource Alam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Resource Alam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Resource Alam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Resource Alam Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution | 70406.42 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 1.333333 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
Day Median Price | 537.5 | |||
Day Typical Price | 536.67 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 7.5 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 20.0 |
Resource Alam Risk Indicators
The analysis of Resource Alam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Resource Alam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resource stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
Variance | 3.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Resource Alam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Resource Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Resource with respect to the benefits of owning Resource Alam security.