Kimberly Clark Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KIMBERA Stock  MXN 27.40  0.12  0.44%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kimberly Clark de Mxico on the next trading day is expected to be 27.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.90. Kimberly Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kimberly Clark stock prices and determine the direction of Kimberly Clark de Mxico's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kimberly Clark's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Kimberly Clark is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Kimberly Clark Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kimberly Clark de Mxico on the next trading day is expected to be 27.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimberly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimberly Clark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kimberly Clark Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kimberly Clark Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kimberly Clark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimberly Clark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.16 and 28.64, respectively. We have considered Kimberly Clark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.40
27.40
Expected Value
28.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimberly Clark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimberly Clark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5784
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0911
MADMean absolute deviation0.3149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors18.895
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Kimberly Clark de Mxico price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Kimberly Clark. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Kimberly Clark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimberly Clark de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kimberly Clark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1427.4028.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1228.3829.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.8627.6328.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kimberly Clark

For every potential investor in Kimberly, whether a beginner or expert, Kimberly Clark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimberly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimberly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimberly Clark's price trends.

Kimberly Clark Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimberly Clark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimberly Clark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimberly Clark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kimberly Clark de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kimberly Clark's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kimberly Clark's current price.

Kimberly Clark Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimberly Clark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimberly Clark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimberly Clark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimberly Clark de Mxico entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kimberly Clark Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kimberly Clark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimberly Clark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimberly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kimberly Stock

Kimberly Clark financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kimberly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kimberly with respect to the benefits of owning Kimberly Clark security.