Johnson Johnson Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

JNJ Stock  ARS 10,450  50.00  0.48%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Johnson Johnson Co on the next trading day is expected to be 10,700 with a mean absolute deviation of 187.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11,627. Johnson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Johnson Johnson stock prices and determine the direction of Johnson Johnson Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Johnson Johnson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Johnson Johnson price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Johnson Johnson Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Johnson Johnson Co on the next trading day is expected to be 10,700 with a mean absolute deviation of 187.54, mean absolute percentage error of 54,910, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11,627.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Johnson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Johnson Johnson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Johnson Johnson Stock Forecast Pattern

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Johnson Johnson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Johnson Johnson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Johnson Johnson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10,699 and 10,701, respectively. We have considered Johnson Johnson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10,450
10,699
Downside
10,700
Expected Value
10,701
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Johnson Johnson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Johnson Johnson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria130.8618
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation187.5377
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0154
SAESum of the absolute errors11627.3405
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Johnson Johnson Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Johnson Johnson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Johnson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,44910,45010,451
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,5688,56911,495
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10,40911,19711,986
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Johnson Johnson

For every potential investor in Johnson, whether a beginner or expert, Johnson Johnson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Johnson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Johnson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Johnson Johnson's price trends.

Johnson Johnson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Johnson Johnson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Johnson Johnson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Johnson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Johnson Johnson Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Johnson Johnson's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Johnson Johnson's current price.

Johnson Johnson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Johnson Johnson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Johnson Johnson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Johnson Johnson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Johnson Johnson Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Johnson Johnson Risk Indicators

The analysis of Johnson Johnson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Johnson Johnson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting johnson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Johnson Stock

Johnson Johnson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johnson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johnson with respect to the benefits of owning Johnson Johnson security.