Janone Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Janone Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.93. Janone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Janone is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Janone Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Janone Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Janone Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Janone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Janone's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Janone Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Janone stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Janone stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9199
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2283
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors13.9275
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Janone Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Janone. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Janone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janone Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-1.151.764.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Janone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Janone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Janone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Janone Inc.

View Janone Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pair Trading with Janone

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Janone position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Janone will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Janone could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Janone when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Janone - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Janone Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Janone is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Janone moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Janone Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Janone can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Janone Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Janone Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Janone's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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