Le Travenues Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

IXIGO Stock   143.21  3.56  2.55%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Le Travenues Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 136.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 228.47. IXIGO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Le Travenues polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Le Travenues Technology as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Le Travenues Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Le Travenues Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 136.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.69, mean absolute percentage error of 25.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 228.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IXIGO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Le Travenues' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Le Travenues Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Le TravenuesLe Travenues Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Le Travenues Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Le Travenues' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Le Travenues' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 133.52 and 138.75, respectively. We have considered Le Travenues' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.21
133.52
Downside
136.13
Expected Value
138.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Le Travenues stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Le Travenues stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1807
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.685
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors228.4724
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Le Travenues historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Le Travenues

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Le Travenues Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
141.07143.69146.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.16141.78144.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
138.08142.53146.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Le Travenues

For every potential investor in IXIGO, whether a beginner or expert, Le Travenues' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IXIGO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IXIGO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Le Travenues' price trends.

Le Travenues Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Le Travenues stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Le Travenues could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Le Travenues by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Le Travenues Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Le Travenues' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Le Travenues' current price.

Le Travenues Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Le Travenues stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Le Travenues shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Le Travenues stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Le Travenues Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Le Travenues Risk Indicators

The analysis of Le Travenues' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Le Travenues' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ixigo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in IXIGO Stock

Le Travenues financial ratios help investors to determine whether IXIGO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IXIGO with respect to the benefits of owning Le Travenues security.