Intuitive Investments Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

IIG Stock   124.50  0.50  0.40%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuitive Investments Group on the next trading day is expected to be 124.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.38. Intuitive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intuitive Investments stock prices and determine the direction of Intuitive Investments Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intuitive Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Intuitive Investments' Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 93 K, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 63.6 K.
Triple exponential smoothing for Intuitive Investments - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Intuitive Investments prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Intuitive Investments price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Intuitive Investments.

Intuitive Investments Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuitive Investments Group on the next trading day is expected to be 124.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 2.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuitive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuitive Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intuitive Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intuitive Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intuitive Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuitive Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.12 and 125.42, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
124.50
123.12
Downside
124.27
Expected Value
125.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuitive Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuitive Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.249
MADMean absolute deviation1.0065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors59.381
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Intuitive Investments observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Intuitive Investments Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Intuitive Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
123.35124.50125.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
106.68107.83136.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intuitive Investments

For every potential investor in Intuitive, whether a beginner or expert, Intuitive Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuitive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuitive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuitive Investments' price trends.

Intuitive Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intuitive Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intuitive Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intuitive Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intuitive Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intuitive Investments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intuitive Investments' current price.

Intuitive Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuitive Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuitive Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuitive Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuitive Investments Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intuitive Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intuitive Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuitive Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuitive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Intuitive Stock

Intuitive Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intuitive Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intuitive with respect to the benefits of owning Intuitive Investments security.