Imagion Biosystems Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

IBXXF Stock  USD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Imagion Biosystems Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Imagion Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Imagion Biosystems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Imagion Biosystems works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Imagion Biosystems Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Imagion Biosystems Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imagion Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imagion Biosystems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Imagion Biosystems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Imagion Biosystems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Imagion Biosystems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imagion Biosystems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 0.04, respectively. We have considered Imagion Biosystems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.04
Expected Value
0.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imagion Biosystems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imagion Biosystems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Imagion Biosystems Limited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Imagion Biosystems Limited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Imagion Biosystems observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Imagion Biosystems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imagion Biosystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Imagion Biosystems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.040.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.030.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Imagion Biosystems

For every potential investor in Imagion, whether a beginner or expert, Imagion Biosystems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imagion Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imagion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imagion Biosystems' price trends.

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Imagion Biosystems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imagion Biosystems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imagion Biosystems' current price.

Imagion Biosystems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imagion Biosystems pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imagion Biosystems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imagion Biosystems pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Imagion Biosystems Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Imagion Pink Sheet

Imagion Biosystems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imagion Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imagion with respect to the benefits of owning Imagion Biosystems security.