PT MNC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

IATA Stock  IDR 52.00  6.00  10.34%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PT MNC Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 46.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.04. IATA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through PT MNC price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

PT MNC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PT MNC Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 46.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95, mean absolute percentage error of 16.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IATA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT MNC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT MNC Stock Forecast Pattern

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PT MNC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT MNC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT MNC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.83 and 49.65, respectively. We have considered PT MNC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.00
46.24
Expected Value
49.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT MNC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT MNC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.7257
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9522
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0659
SAESum of the absolute errors183.0389
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as PT MNC Energy historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for PT MNC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT MNC Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.6252.0055.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2041.5857.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.7143.9754.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT MNC

For every potential investor in IATA, whether a beginner or expert, PT MNC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IATA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IATA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT MNC's price trends.

PT MNC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT MNC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT MNC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT MNC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT MNC Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT MNC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT MNC's current price.

PT MNC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT MNC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT MNC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT MNC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT MNC Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PT MNC Risk Indicators

The analysis of PT MNC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT MNC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in IATA Stock

PT MNC financial ratios help investors to determine whether IATA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IATA with respect to the benefits of owning PT MNC security.