Hindalco Industries Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| HINDALCO | 662.10 6.60 0.99% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hindalco Industries Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 700.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 781.86. Hindalco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hindalco Industries stock prices and determine the direction of Hindalco Industries Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hindalco Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Hindalco |
Hindalco Industries Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hindalco Industries Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 700.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.82, mean absolute percentage error of 237.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 781.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hindalco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hindalco Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hindalco Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hindalco Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hindalco Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hindalco Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 698.77 and 702.60, respectively. We have considered Hindalco Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hindalco Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hindalco Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.5805 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 12.8174 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 781.8584 |
Predictive Modules for Hindalco Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hindalco Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hindalco Industries
For every potential investor in Hindalco, whether a beginner or expert, Hindalco Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hindalco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hindalco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hindalco Industries' price trends.Hindalco Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hindalco Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hindalco Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hindalco Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hindalco Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hindalco Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hindalco Industries' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hindalco Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hindalco Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hindalco Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hindalco Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hindalco Industries Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hindalco Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hindalco Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hindalco Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hindalco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Hindalco Stock
Hindalco Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hindalco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hindalco with respect to the benefits of owning Hindalco Industries security.