HEDGE PALADIN Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HDOF11 Fund   99.00  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN on the next trading day is expected to be 99.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.50. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast HEDGE PALADIN's fund prices and determine the direction of HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

HEDGE PALADIN 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN on the next trading day is expected to be 99.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 1.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HEDGE Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HEDGE PALADIN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HEDGE PALADIN Fund Forecast Pattern

HEDGE PALADIN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HEDGE PALADIN's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HEDGE PALADIN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.34 and 99.66, respectively. We have considered HEDGE PALADIN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
99.00
99.00
Expected Value
99.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HEDGE PALADIN fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HEDGE PALADIN fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8206
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0439
MADMean absolute deviation0.3947
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors22.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of HEDGE PALADIN. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for HEDGE PALADIN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for HEDGE PALADIN

For every potential investor in HEDGE, whether a beginner or expert, HEDGE PALADIN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HEDGE Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HEDGE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HEDGE PALADIN's price trends.

HEDGE PALADIN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HEDGE PALADIN fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HEDGE PALADIN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HEDGE PALADIN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HEDGE PALADIN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HEDGE PALADIN's current price.

HEDGE PALADIN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HEDGE PALADIN fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HEDGE PALADIN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HEDGE PALADIN fund market strength indicators, traders can identify HEDGE PALADIN DESIGN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HEDGE PALADIN Risk Indicators

The analysis of HEDGE PALADIN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HEDGE PALADIN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hedge fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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