HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HCMA Stock  EUR 43.00  0.40  0.92%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HITACHI STRMACHADR2 on the next trading day is expected to be 43.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.76. HITACHI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HITACHI STRMACHADR2's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for HITACHI STRMACHADR2 is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HITACHI STRMACHADR2 on the next trading day is expected to be 43.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HITACHI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HITACHI STRMACHADR2's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Stock Forecast Pattern

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HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HITACHI STRMACHADR2's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HITACHI STRMACHADR2's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.75 and 44.65, respectively. We have considered HITACHI STRMACHADR2's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.00
43.20
Expected Value
44.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HITACHI STRMACHADR2 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HITACHI STRMACHADR2 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3589
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0537
MADMean absolute deviation0.6449
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors36.76
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of HITACHI STRMACHADR2. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for HITACHI STRMACHADR2 and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for HITACHI STRMACHADR2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HITACHI STRMACHADR2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.5543.0044.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.6042.0543.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.0740.8043.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HITACHI STRMACHADR2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HITACHI STRMACHADR2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HITACHI STRMACHADR2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HITACHI STRMACHADR2.

Other Forecasting Options for HITACHI STRMACHADR2

For every potential investor in HITACHI, whether a beginner or expert, HITACHI STRMACHADR2's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HITACHI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HITACHI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HITACHI STRMACHADR2's price trends.

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HITACHI STRMACHADR2 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HITACHI STRMACHADR2 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HITACHI STRMACHADR2 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HITACHI STRMACHADR2's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HITACHI STRMACHADR2's current price.

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HITACHI STRMACHADR2 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HITACHI STRMACHADR2 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HITACHI STRMACHADR2 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HITACHI STRMACHADR2 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 Risk Indicators

The analysis of HITACHI STRMACHADR2's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HITACHI STRMACHADR2's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hitachi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in HITACHI Stock

HITACHI STRMACHADR2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether HITACHI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HITACHI with respect to the benefits of owning HITACHI STRMACHADR2 security.