Huntington Bancshares Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HBANM Preferred Stock  USD 24.00  0.17  0.71%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38. Huntington Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Huntington Bancshares simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Huntington Bancshares Incorporated are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Huntington Bancshares prices get older.

Huntington Bancshares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huntington Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huntington Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huntington Bancshares Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Huntington Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huntington Bancshares' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huntington Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.17 and 24.83, respectively. We have considered Huntington Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.00
24.00
Expected Value
24.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huntington Bancshares preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huntington Bancshares preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0283
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.006
MADMean absolute deviation0.1563
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors9.38
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Huntington Bancshares Incorporated forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Huntington Bancshares observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Huntington Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntington Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.1724.0024.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.0322.8626.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5823.4624.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Huntington Bancshares

For every potential investor in Huntington, whether a beginner or expert, Huntington Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huntington Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huntington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huntington Bancshares' price trends.

Huntington Bancshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huntington Bancshares preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huntington Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huntington Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huntington Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Huntington Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Huntington Bancshares' current price.

Huntington Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huntington Bancshares preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huntington Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huntington Bancshares preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huntington Bancshares Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huntington Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huntington Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huntington Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huntington preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Huntington Preferred Stock

Huntington Bancshares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huntington Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huntington with respect to the benefits of owning Huntington Bancshares security.