Galaxy Digital Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GLXY Stock | CAD 27.45 0.16 0.59% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galaxy Digital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.78. Galaxy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Galaxy Digital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Galaxy Digital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Galaxy Digital fundamentals over time.
Galaxy |
Galaxy Digital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galaxy Digital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galaxy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galaxy Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Galaxy Digital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Galaxy Digital | Galaxy Digital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Galaxy Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Galaxy Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galaxy Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.54 and 33.36, respectively. We have considered Galaxy Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galaxy Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galaxy Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5495 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8816 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0407 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.78 |
Predictive Modules for Galaxy Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galaxy Digital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Galaxy Digital
For every potential investor in Galaxy, whether a beginner or expert, Galaxy Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galaxy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galaxy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galaxy Digital's price trends.Galaxy Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galaxy Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galaxy Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galaxy Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Galaxy Digital Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galaxy Digital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galaxy Digital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Galaxy Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galaxy Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galaxy Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galaxy Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Galaxy Digital Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 23201.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1633 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.16 |
Galaxy Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Galaxy Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galaxy Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galaxy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.78 | |||
| Variance | 33.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Galaxy Digital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Galaxy Digital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Galaxy Digital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Galaxy Stock
| 0.88 | ELF | E L Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | FFH | Fairfax Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | FFH-PC | Fairfax Fin Hld | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | FFH-PH | Fairfax Financial | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Galaxy Digital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Galaxy Digital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Galaxy Digital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Galaxy Digital Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Galaxy Digital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Galaxy Digital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Galaxy Digital Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Galaxy Digital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Galaxy Stock
Galaxy Digital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galaxy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galaxy with respect to the benefits of owning Galaxy Digital security.