Aberdeen Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GGUIXDelisted Fund  USD 29.54  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aberdeen Eq Long Short on the next trading day is expected to be 17.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.40. Aberdeen Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Aberdeen Eq Long Short is based on a synthetically constructed Aberdeendaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Aberdeen 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aberdeen Eq Long Short on the next trading day is expected to be 17.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.47, mean absolute percentage error of 52.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aberdeen Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest AberdeenAberdeen Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.3175
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.2669
MADMean absolute deviation3.4731
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.139
SAESum of the absolute errors142.399
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Aberdeen Eq Long 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Eq Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.4829.5462.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.2625.1657.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.5029.5329.56
Details

Aberdeen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aberdeen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Eq Long Short entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aberdeen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aberdeen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aberdeen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aberdeen mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Other Consideration for investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Aberdeen Eq Long check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aberdeen's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data