GDS Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GDS Stock  USD 20.74  0.74  3.45%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GDS Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.93. GDS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, GDS Holdings' Receivables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.23 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.33 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 154.5 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (1.3 B) in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 GDS Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GDS Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GDS Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GDS Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GDS Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to GDS Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GDS Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GDS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A four-period moving average forecast model for GDS Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

GDS Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GDS Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GDS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GDS Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GDS Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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GDS Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GDS Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GDS Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.95 and 25.89, respectively. We have considered GDS Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.74
20.92
Expected Value
25.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GDS Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GDS Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.1038
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0917
MADMean absolute deviation0.876
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0418
SAESum of the absolute errors49.93
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of GDS Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for GDS Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for GDS Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GDS Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDS Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0421.0025.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6917.6522.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.2620.8624.46
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3217.9319.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GDS Holdings

For every potential investor in GDS, whether a beginner or expert, GDS Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GDS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GDS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GDS Holdings' price trends.

GDS Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GDS Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GDS Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GDS Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GDS Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GDS Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GDS Holdings' current price.

GDS Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GDS Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GDS Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GDS Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GDS Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GDS Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of GDS Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GDS Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gds stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for GDS Stock Analysis

When running GDS Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GDS Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDS Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GDS Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDS Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDS Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDS Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.