Fremont Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FRERF Stock  USD 0.09  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fremont Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.43. Fremont OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fremont Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Fremont Gold simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Fremont Gold are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Fremont Gold prices get older.

Fremont Gold Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fremont Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fremont OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fremont Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fremont Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fremont Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fremont Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8097
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0071
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0764
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4288
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Fremont Gold forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Fremont Gold observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fremont Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fremont Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0914.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1114.52
Details

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fremont Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fremont Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fremont Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fremont Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fremont Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fremont Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fremont Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fremont Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fremont otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Fremont OTC Stock

Fremont Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fremont OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fremont with respect to the benefits of owning Fremont Gold security.