First Republic Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FRCLLDelisted Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Republic Bank on the next trading day is expected to be -0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.51. First Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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First Republic Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of First Republic Bank on the next trading day is expected to be -0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Republic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
First Republic Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest First Republic | First Republic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Republic pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Republic pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4428 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1887 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 112.4541 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.51 |
Predictive Modules for First Republic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Republic Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Republic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Republic pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Republic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Republic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Republic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Republic pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Republic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Republic pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Republic Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
First Republic Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Republic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Republic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 27.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 45.51 | |||
| Variance | 2071.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Consideration for investing in First Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in First Republic Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Republic's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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