FORWARD AIR Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

FA2 Stock  EUR 33.60  0.20  0.59%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FORWARD AIR P on the next trading day is expected to be 33.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.80. FORWARD Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FORWARD AIR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for FORWARD AIR P is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

FORWARD AIR 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FORWARD AIR P on the next trading day is expected to be 33.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 2.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FORWARD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FORWARD AIR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FORWARD AIR Stock Forecast Pattern

FORWARD AIR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FORWARD AIR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FORWARD AIR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.23 and 38.27, respectively. We have considered FORWARD AIR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.60
33.75
Expected Value
38.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FORWARD AIR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FORWARD AIR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.657
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.193
MADMean absolute deviation1.1719
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0356
SAESum of the absolute errors66.8
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of FORWARD AIR. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for FORWARD AIR P and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for FORWARD AIR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FORWARD AIR P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0833.6038.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2027.7236.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.3633.2835.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FORWARD AIR

For every potential investor in FORWARD, whether a beginner or expert, FORWARD AIR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FORWARD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FORWARD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FORWARD AIR's price trends.

FORWARD AIR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FORWARD AIR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FORWARD AIR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FORWARD AIR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FORWARD AIR P Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FORWARD AIR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FORWARD AIR's current price.

FORWARD AIR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FORWARD AIR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FORWARD AIR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FORWARD AIR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FORWARD AIR P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FORWARD AIR Risk Indicators

The analysis of FORWARD AIR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FORWARD AIR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting forward stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in FORWARD Stock

FORWARD AIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FORWARD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FORWARD with respect to the benefits of owning FORWARD AIR security.