Edwards Lifesciences Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

EW Stock  USD 71.35  0.72  1.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Edwards Lifesciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 71.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.92. Edwards Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Edwards Lifesciences' Fixed Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.80 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.12 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 1.8 B in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 550.8 M in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for Edwards Lifesciences is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Edwards Lifesciences Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Edwards Lifesciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 71.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edwards Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edwards Lifesciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Edwards Lifesciences Stock Forecast Pattern

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Edwards Lifesciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Edwards Lifesciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edwards Lifesciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.79 and 72.91, respectively. We have considered Edwards Lifesciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71.35
71.35
Expected Value
72.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edwards Lifesciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edwards Lifesciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5225
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1341
MADMean absolute deviation0.7953
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors46.92
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Edwards Lifesciences Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Edwards Lifesciences. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Edwards Lifesciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edwards Lifesciences Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Edwards Lifesciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.8171.3772.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.2280.5882.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.2570.8172.36
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.1191.33101.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Edwards Lifesciences

For every potential investor in Edwards, whether a beginner or expert, Edwards Lifesciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edwards Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edwards. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edwards Lifesciences' price trends.

Edwards Lifesciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edwards Lifesciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edwards Lifesciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edwards Lifesciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Edwards Lifesciences Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Edwards Lifesciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Edwards Lifesciences' current price.

Edwards Lifesciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edwards Lifesciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edwards Lifesciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edwards Lifesciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Edwards Lifesciences Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Edwards Lifesciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Edwards Lifesciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edwards Lifesciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edwards stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Edwards Stock Analysis

When running Edwards Lifesciences' price analysis, check to measure Edwards Lifesciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edwards Lifesciences is operating at the current time. Most of Edwards Lifesciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edwards Lifesciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edwards Lifesciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edwards Lifesciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.