Envestnet Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ENVDelisted Stock  USD 63.14  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Envestnet on the next trading day is expected to be 62.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.19. Envestnet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Envestnet price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Envestnet Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Envestnet on the next trading day is expected to be 62.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Envestnet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Envestnet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Envestnet Stock Forecast Pattern

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Envestnet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Envestnet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Envestnet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.87 and 63.07, respectively. We have considered Envestnet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
63.14
62.97
Expected Value
63.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Envestnet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Envestnet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8907
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0016
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1896
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Envestnet historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Envestnet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Envestnet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.0463.1463.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.4353.5369.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.6462.9163.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Envestnet

For every potential investor in Envestnet, whether a beginner or expert, Envestnet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Envestnet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Envestnet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Envestnet's price trends.

View Envestnet Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Envestnet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Envestnet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Envestnet's current price.

Envestnet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Envestnet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Envestnet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Envestnet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Envestnet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Envestnet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Envestnet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Envestnet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting envestnet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Envestnet to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in Envestnet Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Envestnet check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Envestnet's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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