Erste Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| EBKDY Stock | USD 30.87 0.77 2.56% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Erste Group Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 31.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.18. Erste Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Erste |
Erste Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Erste Group Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 31.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Erste Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Erste Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Erste Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Erste Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Erste Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Erste Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.45 and 32.65, respectively. We have considered Erste Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Erste Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Erste Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0834 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3421 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.181 |
Predictive Modules for Erste Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erste Group Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Erste Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Erste Group
For every potential investor in Erste, whether a beginner or expert, Erste Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Erste Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Erste. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Erste Group's price trends.Erste Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Erste Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Erste Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Erste Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Erste Group Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Erste Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Erste Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Erste Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Erste Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Erste Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Erste Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Erste Group Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Erste Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Erste Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Erste Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting erste pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Erste Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Erste Group's price analysis, check to measure Erste Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erste Group is operating at the current time. Most of Erste Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erste Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erste Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erste Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.