Sumitomo Dainippon Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DNPUFDelisted Stock  USD 4.37  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma on the next trading day is expected to be 3.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.90. Sumitomo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sumitomo Dainippon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Sumitomo Dainippon polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Sumitomo Dainippon Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma on the next trading day is expected to be 3.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sumitomo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sumitomo Dainippon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sumitomo Dainippon Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sumitomo DainipponSumitomo Dainippon Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sumitomo Dainippon pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sumitomo Dainippon pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria39.2698
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1452
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0263
SAESum of the absolute errors2.9037
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Sumitomo Dainippon historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Sumitomo Dainippon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sumitomo Dainippon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.374.374.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.274.274.81
Details

View Sumitomo Dainippon Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sumitomo Dainippon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sumitomo Dainippon pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sumitomo Dainippon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sumitomo Dainippon pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in Sumitomo Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sumitomo Dainippon's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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