Envela Corp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DGS Stock | EUR 6.70 0.00 0.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Envela Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.74. Envela Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Envela Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Envela Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Envela Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Envela |
Envela Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Envela Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Envela Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Envela Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Envela Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Envela Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Envela Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0194 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0804 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7437 |
Predictive Modules for Envela Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Envela Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Envela Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Envela Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Envela Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Envela Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Envela Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Envela Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Envela Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Envela Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Envela Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Envela Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Envela Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Envela Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting envela stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| NVDA | NVIDIA | |
| CRESY | Cresud SACIF y | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Class C |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Envela Stock
When determining whether Envela Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Envela Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Envela Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Envela Corp Stock:Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.