Columbia Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CVIRX Fund  USD 36.65  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Columbia Dividend Income on the next trading day is expected to be 36.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.73. Columbia Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Columbia Dividend Income is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Columbia Dividend 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Columbia Dividend Income on the next trading day is expected to be 36.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Columbia Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Columbia Dividend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Columbia Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Dividend mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Dividend mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.305
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0886
MADMean absolute deviation0.2234
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors12.7325
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Columbia Dividend. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Columbia Dividend Income and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Columbia Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Dividend Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0736.6537.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6036.1836.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.8336.3136.79
Details

Columbia Dividend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Columbia Dividend mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Columbia Dividend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Columbia Dividend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Columbia Dividend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Columbia Dividend mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Columbia Dividend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Columbia Dividend mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Columbia Dividend Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Columbia Dividend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Columbia Dividend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Columbia Dividend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting columbia mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Dividend security.
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