CureVac NV Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CVAC Stock  USD 2.87  0.13  4.74%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CureVac NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.63. CureVac Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CureVac NV stock prices and determine the direction of CureVac NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CureVac NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, CureVac NV's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.79. . As of November 29, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 200 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (352 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 CureVac Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CureVac NV's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CureVac NV's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CureVac NV stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CureVac NV's open interest, investors have to compare it to CureVac NV's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CureVac NV is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CureVac. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for CureVac NV is based on an artificially constructed time series of CureVac NV daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CureVac NV 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CureVac NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CureVac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CureVac NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CureVac NV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CureVac NVCureVac NV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CureVac NV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CureVac NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CureVac NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 5.91, respectively. We have considered CureVac NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.87
2.68
Expected Value
5.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CureVac NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CureVac NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.309
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0332
MADMean absolute deviation0.1062
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0374
SAESum of the absolute errors5.6275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CureVac NV 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CureVac NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CureVac NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.876.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.455.68
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.5714.9116.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CureVac NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CureVac NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CureVac NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CureVac NV.

Other Forecasting Options for CureVac NV

For every potential investor in CureVac, whether a beginner or expert, CureVac NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CureVac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CureVac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CureVac NV's price trends.

CureVac NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CureVac NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CureVac NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CureVac NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CureVac NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CureVac NV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CureVac NV's current price.

CureVac NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CureVac NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CureVac NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CureVac NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CureVac NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CureVac NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of CureVac NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CureVac NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting curevac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CureVac NV offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CureVac NV's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Curevac Nv Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Curevac Nv Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CureVac NV to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CureVac Stock refer to our How to Trade CureVac Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CureVac NV. If investors know CureVac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CureVac NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
0.294
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.905
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(0.54)
The market value of CureVac NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CureVac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CureVac NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CureVac NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CureVac NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CureVac NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CureVac NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CureVac NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CureVac NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.