Lionheart Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CUB Stock  USD 10.06  0.02  0.20%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lionheart Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45. Lionheart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lionheart Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Lionheart Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lionheart Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Lionheart Holdings' Inventory Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.42, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.55. .
A naive forecasting model for Lionheart Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lionheart Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lionheart Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lionheart Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000071, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lionheart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lionheart Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lionheart Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lionheart Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lionheart Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lionheart Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.96 and 10.16, respectively. We have considered Lionheart Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.06
10.06
Expected Value
10.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lionheart Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lionheart Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5598
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0074
MAPEMean absolute percentage error7.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.453
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lionheart Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lionheart Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lionheart Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lionheart Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lionheart Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9610.0610.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.348.4411.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.0110.0310.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lionheart Holdings

For every potential investor in Lionheart, whether a beginner or expert, Lionheart Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lionheart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lionheart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lionheart Holdings' price trends.

Lionheart Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lionheart Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lionheart Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lionheart Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lionheart Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lionheart Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lionheart Holdings' current price.

Lionheart Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lionheart Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lionheart Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lionheart Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lionheart Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lionheart Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lionheart Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lionheart Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lionheart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Lionheart Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lionheart Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lionheart Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lionheart Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lionheart Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lionheart Stock refer to our How to Trade Lionheart Stock guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lionheart Holdings. If investors know Lionheart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lionheart Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lionheart Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lionheart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lionheart Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lionheart Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lionheart Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lionheart Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lionheart Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lionheart Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lionheart Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.