Cambium Networks Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CMBM Stock  USD 1.26  0.04  3.28%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cambium Networks Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.03. Cambium Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cambium Networks' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cambium Networks' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cambium Networks fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Cambium Networks' Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 4.59, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.66. . As of the 30th of November 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 24.4 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 26.9 M.
Cambium Networks simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cambium Networks Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cambium Networks Corp prices get older.

Cambium Networks Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cambium Networks Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cambium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cambium Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cambium Networks Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cambium NetworksCambium Networks Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cambium Networks Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cambium Networks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cambium Networks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.93, respectively. We have considered Cambium Networks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.26
1.26
Expected Value
5.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cambium Networks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cambium Networks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7002
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0074
MADMean absolute deviation0.0497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0358
SAESum of the absolute errors3.03
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cambium Networks Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cambium Networks observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cambium Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambium Networks Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.245.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.324.999.66
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.8216.2918.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cambium Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cambium Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cambium Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cambium Networks Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Cambium Networks

For every potential investor in Cambium, whether a beginner or expert, Cambium Networks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cambium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cambium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cambium Networks' price trends.

Cambium Networks Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cambium Networks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cambium Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cambium Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cambium Networks Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cambium Networks' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cambium Networks' current price.

Cambium Networks Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cambium Networks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cambium Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cambium Networks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cambium Networks Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cambium Networks Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cambium Networks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cambium Networks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cambium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Cambium Networks Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cambium Networks' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cambium Networks' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cambium Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cambium Networks to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cambium Networks. If investors know Cambium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cambium Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.686
Earnings Share
(3.54)
Revenue Per Share
6.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.016
Return On Assets
(0.22)
The market value of Cambium Networks Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cambium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cambium Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cambium Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cambium Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cambium Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cambium Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cambium Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cambium Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.