Civitas Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CIVIWDelisted Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Civitas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.90. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Civitas Resources' stock prices and determine the direction of Civitas Resources's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Civitas Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Civitas Resources polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Civitas Resources as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Civitas Resources Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Civitas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Civitas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Civitas Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Civitas Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Civitas Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Civitas Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.879
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0312
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.6084
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9014
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Civitas Resources historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Civitas Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Civitas Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Civitas Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Civitas Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Civitas Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Civitas Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Civitas Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Civitas Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Civitas Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Civitas Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Civitas Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Other Consideration for investing in Civitas Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Civitas Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Civitas Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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