Colliers International Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CIGI Stock | USD 153.63 0.61 0.40% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Colliers International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 153.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.44. Colliers Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Colliers International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Colliers |
Colliers International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Colliers International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 153.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 5.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Colliers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Colliers International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Colliers International Stock Forecast Pattern
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Colliers International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Colliers International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Colliers International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 152.06 and 155.20, respectively. We have considered Colliers International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Colliers International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Colliers International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8192 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2207 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0116 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.44 |
Predictive Modules for Colliers International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colliers International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Colliers International
For every potential investor in Colliers, whether a beginner or expert, Colliers International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Colliers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Colliers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Colliers International's price trends.Colliers International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Colliers International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Colliers International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Colliers International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Colliers International Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Colliers International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Colliers International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Colliers International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Colliers International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Colliers International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Colliers International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Colliers International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Colliers International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Colliers International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Colliers International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting colliers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Colliers International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Colliers International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Colliers International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Colliers International Group Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colliers International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colliers International. If investors know Colliers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colliers International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.377 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share 92.768 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
The market value of Colliers International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colliers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colliers International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colliers International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colliers International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colliers International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colliers International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colliers International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colliers International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.