Cigna Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CI Stock  USD 294.03  17.34  5.57%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cigna Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 312.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 597.47. Cigna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cigna Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Cigna Corp's Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. . The Cigna Corp's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 365.5 M. The Cigna Corp's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 8.1 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Cigna Corp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Cigna Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cigna Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 312.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.79, mean absolute percentage error of 139.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 597.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cigna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cigna Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cigna Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cigna Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cigna Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cigna Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 310.71 and 314.36, respectively. We have considered Cigna Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
294.03
310.71
Downside
312.53
Expected Value
314.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cigna Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cigna Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0494
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.7946
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.03
SAESum of the absolute errors597.4698
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Cigna Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Cigna Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cigna Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
292.56294.42296.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
264.63321.38323.24
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
302.90332.86369.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.108.037.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cigna Corp

For every potential investor in Cigna, whether a beginner or expert, Cigna Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cigna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cigna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cigna Corp's price trends.

Cigna Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cigna Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cigna Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cigna Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cigna Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cigna Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cigna Corp's current price.

Cigna Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cigna Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cigna Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cigna Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cigna Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cigna Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cigna Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cigna Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cigna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cigna Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cigna Stock please use our How to Invest in Cigna Corp guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cigna Corp. If investors know Cigna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cigna Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
Dividend Share
5.43
Earnings Share
10.56
Revenue Per Share
808.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.28
The market value of Cigna Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cigna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cigna Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cigna Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cigna Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cigna Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cigna Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cigna Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cigna Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.