CA Immobilien Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CAI Stock  EUR 23.52  0.16  0.68%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CA Immobilien Anlagen on the next trading day is expected to be 25.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.88. CAI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CA Immobilien's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
CA Immobilien polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for CA Immobilien Anlagen as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

CA Immobilien Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CA Immobilien Anlagen on the next trading day is expected to be 25.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CAI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CA Immobilien's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CA Immobilien Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CA ImmobilienCA Immobilien Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CA Immobilien Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CA Immobilien's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CA Immobilien's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.63 and 28.11, respectively. We have considered CA Immobilien's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.52
25.37
Expected Value
28.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CA Immobilien stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CA Immobilien stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9187
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0296
SAESum of the absolute errors42.8763
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the CA Immobilien historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for CA Immobilien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CA Immobilien Anlagen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7823.5226.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1223.8626.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.2323.2825.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CA Immobilien

For every potential investor in CAI, whether a beginner or expert, CA Immobilien's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CAI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CAI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CA Immobilien's price trends.

CA Immobilien Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CA Immobilien stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CA Immobilien could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CA Immobilien by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CA Immobilien Anlagen Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CA Immobilien's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CA Immobilien's current price.

CA Immobilien Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CA Immobilien stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CA Immobilien shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CA Immobilien stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CA Immobilien Anlagen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CA Immobilien Risk Indicators

The analysis of CA Immobilien's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CA Immobilien's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CAI Stock

CA Immobilien financial ratios help investors to determine whether CAI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CAI with respect to the benefits of owning CA Immobilien security.