Scepter Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BRZL Stock  USD 0  0.0007  116.67%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scepter Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Scepter Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Scepter Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Scepter Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Scepter Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scepter Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scepter Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scepter Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scepter Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scepter HoldingsScepter Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Scepter Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scepter Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scepter Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000013 and 30.16, respectively. We have considered Scepter Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000013
Downside
0
Expected Value
30.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scepter Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scepter Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.4087
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1605
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0112
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Scepter Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Scepter Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Scepter Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scepter Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00030.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00030.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scepter Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scepter Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scepter Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scepter Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Scepter Holdings

For every potential investor in Scepter, whether a beginner or expert, Scepter Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scepter Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scepter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scepter Holdings' price trends.

Scepter Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scepter Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scepter Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scepter Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scepter Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scepter Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scepter Holdings' current price.

Scepter Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scepter Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scepter Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scepter Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Scepter Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scepter Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scepter Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scepter Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scepter pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Scepter Pink Sheet

Scepter Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scepter Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scepter with respect to the benefits of owning Scepter Holdings security.