Barnes Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BDelisted Stock  USD 47.48  0.01  0.02%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Barnes Group on the next trading day is expected to be 47.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02. Barnes Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Barnes stock prices and determine the direction of Barnes Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Barnes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Barnes works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Barnes Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Barnes Group on the next trading day is expected to be 47.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barnes Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barnes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Barnes Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barnes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barnes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0017
MADMean absolute deviation0.0342
MAPEMean absolute percentage error7.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors2.02
When Barnes Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Barnes Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Barnes observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Barnes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barnes Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.4147.4847.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.1040.1752.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barnes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barnes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barnes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barnes Group.

View Barnes Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Barnes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barnes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barnes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barnes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Barnes Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Barnes Risk Indicators

The analysis of Barnes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barnes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barnes stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in Barnes Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Barnes Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Barnes' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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