Avinger Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AVGRDelisted Stock | USD 0.47 0.09 16.07% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Avinger on the next trading day is expected to be 0.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.72. Avinger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Avinger |
Avinger Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Avinger on the next trading day is expected to be 0.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Avinger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Avinger's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Avinger Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Avinger | Avinger Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Avinger stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Avinger stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0079 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0801 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.725 |
Predictive Modules for Avinger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avinger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.View Avinger Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Avinger Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Avinger stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Avinger shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Avinger stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Avinger entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Avinger Risk Indicators
The analysis of Avinger's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Avinger's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting avinger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.99 | |||
| Variance | 440.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 159.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 132.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (16.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Avinger
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Avinger position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Avinger will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Avinger Stock
| 0.59 | ALC | Alcon AG | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | FEMY | Femasys | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | NYXH | Nyxoah | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | MLSS | Milestone Scientific | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Avinger could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Avinger when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Avinger - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Avinger to buy it.
The correlation of Avinger is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Avinger moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Avinger moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Avinger can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Avinger Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Avinger check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Avinger's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |