Austevoll Seafood Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AUSS Stock  NOK 101.30  0.30  0.30%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Austevoll Seafood ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 101.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.24. Austevoll Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Austevoll Seafood - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Austevoll Seafood prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Austevoll Seafood price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Austevoll Seafood ASA.

Austevoll Seafood Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Austevoll Seafood ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 101.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Austevoll Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Austevoll Seafood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Austevoll Seafood Stock Forecast Pattern

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Austevoll Seafood Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Austevoll Seafood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Austevoll Seafood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.17 and 102.53, respectively. We have considered Austevoll Seafood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
101.30
100.17
Downside
101.35
Expected Value
102.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Austevoll Seafood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Austevoll Seafood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0735
MADMean absolute deviation0.9025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors53.245
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Austevoll Seafood observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Austevoll Seafood ASA observations.

Predictive Modules for Austevoll Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austevoll Seafood ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.12101.30102.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.6883.86111.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
98.50100.56102.63
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Austevoll Seafood

For every potential investor in Austevoll, whether a beginner or expert, Austevoll Seafood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Austevoll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Austevoll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Austevoll Seafood's price trends.

Austevoll Seafood Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Austevoll Seafood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Austevoll Seafood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Austevoll Seafood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Austevoll Seafood ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Austevoll Seafood's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Austevoll Seafood's current price.

Austevoll Seafood Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Austevoll Seafood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Austevoll Seafood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Austevoll Seafood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Austevoll Seafood ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Austevoll Seafood Risk Indicators

The analysis of Austevoll Seafood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Austevoll Seafood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting austevoll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Austevoll Stock

Austevoll Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austevoll Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austevoll with respect to the benefits of owning Austevoll Seafood security.