AlphaVest Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ATMVU Stock   11.31  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AlphaVest Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54. AlphaVest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for AlphaVest Acquisition is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

AlphaVest Acquisition Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AlphaVest Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AlphaVest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AlphaVest Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AlphaVest Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sep 27Oct 7Oct 15Oct 23Oct 31Nov 8Nov 18Nov 26Dec 5Dec 1411.411.611.812.012.212.4
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AlphaVest Acquisition AlphaVest Acquisition forecast
Backtest AlphaVest AcquisitionAlphaVest Acquisition Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

AlphaVest Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AlphaVest Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AlphaVest Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.87 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered AlphaVest Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.31
11.31
Expected Value
12.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AlphaVest Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AlphaVest Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0257
MADMean absolute deviation0.0262
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0023
SAESum of the absolute errors1.545
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of AlphaVest Acquisition Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of AlphaVest Acquisition. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for AlphaVest Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AlphaVest Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AlphaVest Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8711.3112.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1211.5613.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AlphaVest Acquisition

For every potential investor in AlphaVest, whether a beginner or expert, AlphaVest Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AlphaVest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AlphaVest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AlphaVest Acquisition's price trends.

AlphaVest Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AlphaVest Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AlphaVest Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AlphaVest Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AlphaVest Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AlphaVest Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AlphaVest Acquisition's current price.

AlphaVest Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AlphaVest Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AlphaVest Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AlphaVest Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AlphaVest Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AlphaVest Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of AlphaVest Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AlphaVest Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alphavest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for AlphaVest Stock Analysis

When running AlphaVest Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure AlphaVest Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AlphaVest Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of AlphaVest Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AlphaVest Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AlphaVest Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AlphaVest Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.