ANA Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ALNPY Stock  USD 3.76  0.12  3.09%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ANA Holdings ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 3.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.19. ANA Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for ANA Holdings ADR is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

ANA Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ANA Holdings ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 3.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ANA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ANA Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ANA Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ANA HoldingsANA Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ANA Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ANA Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ANA Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.17 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered ANA Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.76
3.76
Expected Value
6.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ANA Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ANA Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.0096
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0108
MADMean absolute deviation0.0736
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors4.1925
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of ANA Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for ANA Holdings ADR and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for ANA Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANA Holdings ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.173.766.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.673.265.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ANA Holdings

For every potential investor in ANA, whether a beginner or expert, ANA Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ANA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ANA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ANA Holdings' price trends.

ANA Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ANA Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ANA Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ANA Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ANA Holdings ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ANA Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ANA Holdings' current price.

ANA Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ANA Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ANA Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ANA Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ANA Holdings ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ANA Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of ANA Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ANA Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ana pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for ANA Pink Sheet Analysis

When running ANA Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ANA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ANA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ANA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ANA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ANA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ANA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.