Acres Commercial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ACR Stock | USD 17.24 0.18 1.03% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acres Commercial Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 17.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.21. Acres Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Acres Commercial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Acres Commercial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Acres Commercial fundamentals over time.
Acres |
Acres Commercial Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Acres Commercial's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2005-09-30 | Previous Quarter 91.6 M | Current Value 70.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 60.2 M |
Acres Commercial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acres Commercial Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 17.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acres Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acres Commercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acres Commercial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acres Commercial | Acres Commercial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Acres Commercial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acres Commercial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acres Commercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.62 and 18.40, respectively. We have considered Acres Commercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acres Commercial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acres Commercial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7759 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.151 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0095 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.2121 |
Predictive Modules for Acres Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acres Commercial Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acres Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Acres Commercial
For every potential investor in Acres, whether a beginner or expert, Acres Commercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acres Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acres. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acres Commercial's price trends.Acres Commercial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acres Commercial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acres Commercial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acres Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acres Commercial Realty Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Acres Commercial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Acres Commercial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Acres Commercial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acres Commercial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acres Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acres Commercial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acres Commercial Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Acres Commercial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acres Commercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acres Commercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acres stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9235 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8529 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Additional Tools for Acres Stock Analysis
When running Acres Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Acres Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acres Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Acres Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acres Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acres Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acres Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.