Suzhou Weizhixiang Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

605089 Stock   25.00  1.45  6.16%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Suzhou Weizhixiang Food on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.06. Suzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Suzhou Weizhixiang stock prices and determine the direction of Suzhou Weizhixiang Food's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Suzhou Weizhixiang's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Suzhou Weizhixiang's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Receivables is expected to grow to about 10.9 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Suzhou Weizhixiang is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Suzhou Weizhixiang Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Suzhou Weizhixiang Food on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Suzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Suzhou Weizhixiang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Suzhou Weizhixiang Stock Forecast Pattern

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Suzhou Weizhixiang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Suzhou Weizhixiang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Suzhou Weizhixiang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.59 and 28.41, respectively. We have considered Suzhou Weizhixiang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.00
25.00
Expected Value
28.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Suzhou Weizhixiang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Suzhou Weizhixiang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1828
MADMean absolute deviation0.6011
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0283
SAESum of the absolute errors36.065
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Suzhou Weizhixiang Food price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Suzhou Weizhixiang. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Suzhou Weizhixiang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Suzhou Weizhixiang Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5925.0028.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5122.9126.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.9522.5525.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Suzhou Weizhixiang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Suzhou Weizhixiang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Suzhou Weizhixiang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Suzhou Weizhixiang Food.

Other Forecasting Options for Suzhou Weizhixiang

For every potential investor in Suzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Suzhou Weizhixiang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Suzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Suzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Suzhou Weizhixiang's price trends.

Suzhou Weizhixiang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Suzhou Weizhixiang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Suzhou Weizhixiang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Suzhou Weizhixiang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Suzhou Weizhixiang Food Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Suzhou Weizhixiang's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Suzhou Weizhixiang's current price.

Suzhou Weizhixiang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Suzhou Weizhixiang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Suzhou Weizhixiang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Suzhou Weizhixiang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Suzhou Weizhixiang Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Suzhou Weizhixiang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Suzhou Weizhixiang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Suzhou Weizhixiang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting suzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Suzhou Stock

Suzhou Weizhixiang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Suzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Suzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Suzhou Weizhixiang security.