Haverty Furniture Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

25F Stock  EUR 22.40  0.20  0.90%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 23.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.49. Haverty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Haverty Furniture's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Haverty Furniture is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Haverty Furniture Companies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Haverty Furniture Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 23.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haverty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haverty Furniture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Haverty Furniture Stock Forecast Pattern

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Haverty Furniture Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Haverty Furniture's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haverty Furniture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.52 and 25.84, respectively. We have considered Haverty Furniture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.40
23.18
Expected Value
25.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haverty Furniture stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haverty Furniture stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7249
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4272
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0194
SAESum of the absolute errors26.4872
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Haverty Furniture Companies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Haverty Furniture. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Haverty Furniture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haverty Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7522.4025.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4422.0924.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.3421.0622.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Haverty Furniture

For every potential investor in Haverty, whether a beginner or expert, Haverty Furniture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haverty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haverty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haverty Furniture's price trends.

Haverty Furniture Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haverty Furniture stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haverty Furniture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haverty Furniture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Haverty Furniture Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Haverty Furniture's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Haverty Furniture's current price.

Haverty Furniture Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haverty Furniture stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haverty Furniture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haverty Furniture stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Haverty Furniture Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Haverty Furniture Risk Indicators

The analysis of Haverty Furniture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haverty Furniture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haverty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Haverty Stock

When determining whether Haverty Furniture is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Haverty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Haverty Furniture Companies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Haverty Furniture Companies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Haverty Furniture's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Haverty Furniture is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Haverty Furniture's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.