Tyntek Corp Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

2426 Stock  TWD 22.05  0.95  4.13%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tyntek Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 22.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.70. Tyntek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Tyntek Corp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Tyntek Corp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tyntek Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 22.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tyntek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tyntek Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tyntek Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tyntek Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tyntek Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tyntek Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.28 and 26.07, respectively. We have considered Tyntek Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.05
22.68
Expected Value
26.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tyntek Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tyntek Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8172
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0427
MADMean absolute deviation0.8741
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0378
SAESum of the absolute errors50.7
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Tyntek Corp. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Tyntek Corp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Tyntek Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tyntek Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6223.0026.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0119.3925.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tyntek Corp

For every potential investor in Tyntek, whether a beginner or expert, Tyntek Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tyntek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tyntek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tyntek Corp's price trends.

Tyntek Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tyntek Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tyntek Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tyntek Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tyntek Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tyntek Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tyntek Corp's current price.

Tyntek Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tyntek Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tyntek Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tyntek Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tyntek Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tyntek Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tyntek Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tyntek Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tyntek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Tyntek Stock Analysis

When running Tyntek Corp's price analysis, check to measure Tyntek Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tyntek Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Tyntek Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tyntek Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tyntek Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tyntek Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.